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@ -4,6 +4,7 @@ import pandas as pd
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import requests
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import matplotlib
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import json
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import numpy as np
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# %%
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r = requests.get('https://disease.sh/v3/covid-19/historical/fr?lastdays=all')
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@ -11,22 +12,35 @@ x = r.json()
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#%%
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df = pd.DataFrame(x['timeline'])
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df = df.reset_index()
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#%% convert index to datetime, messing things up
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# df.index = pd.to_datetime(df.index, dayfirst=True)
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# %%
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df['daily_deaths'] = df['deaths'].diff()
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df['daily_deaths_avg'] = df['daily_deaths'].rolling(7).mean()
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df['death_change'] = df['daily_deaths'].diff()
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df['death_change'] = df['daily_deaths_avg'].diff()
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# %%
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df.fillna(value=0, inplace=True)
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poly = np.polyfit(df.index.values, df['daily_deaths_avg'].values, 5)
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poly_tornado = np.poly1d(poly)(df.index.values)
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# %%
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df['tornado'] = poly_tornado
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# %% Try to smooth the curve with interpolation
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# df['death_change'] = df['death_change'].interpolate(method='cubic')
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# %%
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df['death_change'] = df['death_change'].rolling(5).mean()
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#df['death_change'] = df['death_change'].rolling(3).mean()
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# %%
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# df.drop(columns=['cases', 'deaths', 'recovered'], inplace=True)
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#%%
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#df.plot()
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df.plot(x='death_change', y='daily_deaths_avg')
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df.plot(x='death_change', y='daily_deaths_avg')
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